Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.841596 0.983508 1.141800 1.331440 1.552488 1.802061 2.105330
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.609050 0.795369 1.026959 1.335962 1.737655 2.242540 2.926134
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.478583 0.676430 0.942039 1.324674 1.862208 2.591347 3.657494
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.394144 0.594076 0.879816 1.317918 1.973398 2.919271 4.391459
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.337944 0.538464 0.840953 1.330381 2.103592 3.280537 5.213840
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.281846 0.471959 0.772943 1.283955 2.131496 3.484612 5.817035
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.263635 0.461886 0.789850 1.371605 2.380108 4.061563 7.089793
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.226355 0.413573 0.736177 1.332169 2.408633 4.277053 7.781620
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.194640 0.369877 0.683575 1.285590 2.415483 4.451800 8.419320
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.169131 0.333532 0.638606 1.245457 2.426390 4.631461 9.084538
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.155410 0.317414 0.628446 1.268522 2.557497 5.046352 10.245883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.150247 0.317280 0.648513 1.352536 2.817198 5.736843 12.036180
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.140121 0.306070 0.646118 1.392923 2.998669 6.304498 13.673768
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.127850 0.288671 0.628958 1.400631 3.114291 6.755481 15.135994
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.115495 0.269197 0.604600 1.388965 3.185628 7.120626 16.459499
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.105025 0.252415 0.583737 1.381891 3.265564 7.513351 17.897058
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.097201 0.240632 0.572430 1.394958 3.392936 8.027245 19.683746
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.086217 0.219672 0.537116 1.346285 3.367658 8.186356 20.647456
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084915 0.222434 0.558436 1.438179 3.695917 9.221721 23.897855
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.076162 0.204999 0.528168 1.396832 3.685819 9.434515 25.107045
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.068013 0.187974 0.496683 1.347998 3.649753 9.577619 26.155484
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061090 0.173255 0.469195 1.305922 3.625702 9.748091 27.300263
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.057814 0.168125 0.466318 1.330104 3.783970 10.416076 29.893445